Muslim Population Statistics
Demographic considerations with
regard to Muslim populations may prove to be of vital concern in the next
millennium. When a large percentage of the population is older, this can
affect the socio-political structure of a country. Likewise, when a large
percentage of the population is young, that too will affect the socio-political
structure of a country.
Here are some population
statistics starting from the early 1900s as well as projected figures for
the year 2025 of the total overall number of Muslims across the globe.
Comparative
chart - number of Muslims to Christians:
|
Christian
|
Muslim
|
1900 world population
|
26.9%
|
12.4%
|
1980 world population
|
30%
|
16.5% |
2000 world population
|
29.9%
|
19.2%
|
2025 world population (PROJECTED)
|
25%
|
30%
|
Estimates of the total
number of Muslims in the world vary greatly:
0.700 billion or more, Barnes
& Noble Encyclopedia 1993
0.817 billion, The Universal
Almanac (1996)
0.951 billion, The Cambridge
Factfinder (1993)
1.100 billion, The World
Almanac (1997)
1.200 billion, CAIR (Council
on American-Islamic relations) (1999)
At a level of 1.2 billion,
[in1999] Muslims represent between 19.2% and 22% of the world's population.
It has become the second largest religion in the world. Christianity has
slightly less than 30%.
Islam is growing about 2.9%
per year which is faster than the total world population which increases
at about 2.3% annually. It is thus attracting a progressively larger percentage
of the world's population.
The number of Muslims in
North America is in dispute: estimates range from under 3 million to over
6 million. The main cause of the disagreement appears to be over how many
Muslim immigrants have converted to Christianity since they arrived in
the US.
Statistics
Canada reports that 253,260 Canadians identified themselves as Muslims
(0.9% of the total population) during the 1991 census. Some estimated that
there were as many as 500,000 Muslims in Canada. Today
(.2001) there are an estimated 650,000 Muslims in Canada.
Demographics
In the Maghrib between 1965
and 1990, the population rose from 29.8 million to 59 million. During the
same period, the number of Egyptians increased from 29.4 million to 52.4
million. In Central Asia, between 1970 and 1993, populations grew at an
annual rate of 2.9 percent in Tajikistan, 2.6 percent in Uzbekistan, 2.5
percent in Turkmenistan, and 1.9 percent in Kyrgyzia. In the 1970s, the
demographic balance in the Soviet Union shifted drastically, with Muslims
increasing by 24 percent while Russians increased by only 6.5 percent.
The increase in the Muslim
heartlands will have a significant impact in Muslim minority areas as well.
In some countries, such as Tanzania and Macedonia, the Muslims will become
a majority within twenty years. Largely through immigration, the Muslim
population of the United States grew sixfold between 1972 and 1990. And
even in countries where immigration has been suppressed, the growth continues.
Last year, seven percent of babies born in European Union countries were
Muslims. In Brussels, the figure was a staggering 57 percent. Islam is
already the second religion of almost every European state - the only exceptions
being those European countries such as Azerbaijan and Albania where it
is the majority religion. If current trends continue, then an overall ten
percent of European nationals will be Muslim by the year 2020.
Conclusion
If the west's population
is top-heavy, (i.e., the ratio of youth to elderly is low) that of Muslim
populations is the opposite. For example, today more than half the population
of Algeria is under the age of twenty and this situation is similar elsewhere.
These young populations will reproduce and perpetuate the increase of Muslims
on a percentage basis well into the next millennium.
North America and Europe
have increasingly aging populations and one of the most disturbing social
issues of the new millennium will concern a more efficient means of disposing
of the elderly. (For example, witness the new euthanasia laws in the Netherlands,
and the ongoing debate in many countries about this issue.) Medical advances
can assure an average life span in the high seventies, although active
life spans have not grown as fast. In the early 1900s, a westerner could
expect to spend an average of the last two years of life as an invalid.
Today, that figure is seven years. As Ivan Illich has shown, medicine prolongs
life, but can not prolong mobility nearly as well. Aging populations with
their increased healthcare costs are considered a more extensive socio-economic
burden to society. For example, the UK Department of Health recently announced
that a new prescription drug for Alzheimer's Disease was available on the
National Health Service - but its cost meant that it was only available
to a small minority of patients.
An aging population tends
to be introspective and sluggish, whereas a young population is more likely
to be vibrant and energetic. This may or may not bode well for many countries
and that will depend on whether their political structure is fragile or
not.
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